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How to Make Your Breeders' Cup Picks

By: wponies

Now that the Breeders' Cup is a day longer, that just means there are more races for the avid handicapper to pick from. While this gives you more chances to hit a winner, it also increases the total amount you will be wagering on the two-day event. Don't get sloppy in your research because of the sheer number of horses to analyze. When in doubt, make fewer bets on the Breeders' Cup picks you are most confident will win.

The newly added Dirt Mile race will give middle distance horses more of a chance to win an event. Consider adding a few overlooked dirt horses into your Breeders' Cup picks this year to see if you can pick up a little extra profit in this new event. This is also an important race for the sport of horse racing because it gives a prestigious event to the many riders in the eight furlong range.

One way to eliminate some horses from your list of Breeders' Cup picks is to look for those entrants who are likely to be overrated. Horse racing is one of the few sports where hype and exaggeration does actually affect the results of bettors. This is because all money wagered on a horse influences that horse's odds and payout. Horses that are overrated will end up with unprofitable odds after the volume of wagering that is done prior to the race. Conversely, look for horses that should be undervalued on race day because these Breeders' Cup picks can be your most profitable.

Beyer speed figures can be a good guide to use when coming up with your list of Breeders' Cup picks. These numbers are an assessment of an individual horse’s speed. The Beyer figures are based various factors from the horse's prior race results, such as track conditions, race time, and whether the horse had a full rail trip in the race or was forced to run four or five wide the entire time. This allows you to roughly compare horses across a variety of conditions to get an idea of which horse can run the fastest.

Look at the track conditions and the expected weather for the event before making your Breeders' Cup picks. The 2007 Breeders' Cup was held in Monmouth, New Jersey, where continual rain led to sloppy, slow conditions on the track. The 2008 event in Santa Anita is not likely to be affected by adverse weather since it is being held in sunny Southern California. This will probably lead to fast track conditions, so adjust your 2008 Breeders' Cup picks accordingly.

Try to avoid races that may be more of a crapshoot or influenced by luck and hot streaks. Juvenile dirt races are usually in this category because of the unpredictable surface and lack of prior results for younger horses. Short distance races are also generally not well-suited for your Breeders' Cup picks because an unknown horse can run fast for a brief amount of time and score an unexpected win.

Article Source: http://www.article-voip.com

WinningPonies.com offers horse racing tips, including How to Make Your Breeders' Cup Picks, and a horse racing blog.

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